Roche Holding (Switzerland) Performance

ROG Stock  CHF 351.10  2.70  0.76%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Roche Holding holds a performance score of 19. The company holds a Beta of 0.0598, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Roche Holding's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Roche Holding is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Roche Holding's coefficient of variation, maximum drawdown, skewness, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and downside variance , to make a quick decision on whether Roche Holding's historical price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Roche Holding AG are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly abnormal technical and fundamental indicators, Roche Holding showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0272
Payout Ratio
0.5511
Last Split Factor
100:1
Forward Dividend Rate
9.7
Dividend Date
2025-03-31
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Begin Period Cash FlowB
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-8.7 B
  

Roche Holding Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  29,040  in Roche Holding AG on November 12, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  6,340  from holding Roche Holding AG or generate 21.83% return on investment over 90 days. Roche Holding AG is generating 0.3508% of daily returns assuming 1.4178% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 12% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Roche Holding, and 93% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Roche Holding is expected to generate 1.75 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.75 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.25 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Roche Holding Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Roche Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 351.10 90 days 351.10 
about 12.88
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Roche Holding to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 12.88 (This Roche Holding AG probability density function shows the probability of Roche Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Roche Holding has a beta of 0.0598 indicating as returns on the market go up, Roche Holding average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Roche Holding AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Roche Holding AG has an alpha of 0.4694, implying that it can generate a 0.47 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Roche Holding Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Roche Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Roche Holding AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
352.45353.87355.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
318.42394.32395.74
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
4.895.075.39
Details

Roche Holding Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Roche Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Roche Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Roche Holding AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Roche Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.47
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
26.87
Ir
Information ratio 0.26

Roche Holding Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Roche Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Roche Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Roche Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding803 M
Cash And Short Term Investments15.5 B

Roche Holding Fundamentals Growth

Roche Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Roche Holding, and Roche Holding fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Roche Stock performance.

About Roche Holding Performance

Evaluating Roche Holding's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Roche Holding has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Roche Holding has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 164.00  204.95 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.17  0.12 
Return On Capital Employed 0.23  0.18 
Return On Assets 0.13  0.09 
Return On Equity 0.38  0.30 

Things to note about Roche Holding AG performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Roche Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Roche Holding AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Roche Holding's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Roche Holding's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Roche Holding's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Roche Holding's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Roche Holding's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Roche Holding's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Roche Holding's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Roche Holding's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Roche Holding's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Roche Holding's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Roche Holding's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Roche Stock Analysis

When running Roche Holding's price analysis, check to measure Roche Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Roche Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Roche Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Roche Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Roche Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Roche Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.